I hate being late to the party. The recent stock market has rallied, which is bad news for buyers of stocks who now face higher prices and often higher valuations. Have prudent investors seeking attractive valuations been left high and dry? No-- fortunately not all stocks have rallied, leaving many quality companies with attractive valuations.
Finding Quality Value Stocks Which the Rally Left Behind
Consider the following stocks which are down over the past 12 months and trade at attractive valuations:
Ticker
|
Company
|
Performance (Year)
|
P/E
|
P/S
|
P/B
|
|
American Eagle Outfitters
|
-7.4%
|
14.91
|
0.9
|
1.98
|
|
Alliance Resource Partners
|
-4.9%
|
8.71
|
1.42
|
4.18
|
|
Big 5 Sporting Goods Corp.
|
-14.9%
|
12.33
|
0.22
|
1.23
|
|
Commercial Metals Co.
|
-0.6%
|
0
|
0.19
|
1.33
|
|
Cash America International
|
-0.4%
|
10.95
|
0.88
|
1.5
|
|
DeVry, Inc.
|
-3.8%
|
11.01
|
1.14
|
1.82
|
|
GameStop Corp.
|
-5.2%
|
8.33
|
0.32
|
1.06
|
|
Group 1 Automotive Inc.
|
-1.1%
|
14.76
|
0.19
|
1.44
|
|
hhgregg, Inc.
|
-17.4%
|
10.85
|
0.19
|
1.41
|
|
INTL FCStone Inc.
|
-0.6%
|
13.86
|
0.01
|
1.49
|
|
The Kroger Co.
|
-2.3%
|
12.13
|
0.15
|
2.74
|
|
Magellan Health Services
|
-1.4%
|
11.99
|
0.49
|
1.58
|
|
Nash Finch Co.
|
-1.7%
|
8.44
|
0.07
|
0.87
|
|
NewMarket Corp.
|
-6.7%
|
12.26
|
1.15
|
4.51
|
|
The Children
|
-8.6%
|
14.77
|
0.71
|
2
|
|
Rent-A-Center Inc.
|
-1.8%
|
13.67
|
0.74
|
1.58
|
Each of these stocks has declined in price over the last 12 months and trades at attractive valuations. In effect, these companies didn't participate in the rally.
Prudent investors should wonder if there is a catch to these stocks-- if these companies are value traps. The quality of these stocks can be assayed by confirming long-term positive equity returns and financial stability that can weather tough economic conditions. Fortunately, these firms have positive average equity returns over past 10 reported fiscal years and have "safe" Altman Z-scores:
Ticker
|
Industry
|
10-Year Average ROE
|
Altman Z-score
|
AEO
|
Apparel Stores
|
19.5%
|
7.00
|
ARLP
|
Industrial Metals & Minerals
|
55.5%
|
3.57
|
BGFV
|
Sporting Goods Stores
|
32.8%
|
3.66
|
CMC
|
Steel & Iron
|
10.8%
|
3.54
|
CSH
|
Credit Services
|
12.8%
|
3.69
|
DV
|
Education & Training Services
|
16.4%
|
5.29
|
GME
|
Electronics Stores
|
13.1%
|
3.46
|
GPI
|
Auto Dealerships
|
9.2%
|
3.88
|
HGG
|
Electronics Stores
|
48.8%
|
4.83
|
INTL
|
Asset Management
|
11.2%
|
28.89
|
KR
|
Grocery Stores
|
18.4%
|
4.89
|
MGLN
|
Health Care Plans
|
20.7%
|
5.39
|
NAFC
|
Food Wholesale
|
8.5%
|
5.60
|
NEU
|
Specialty Chemicals
|
12.0%
|
6.12
|
PLCE
|
Apparel Stores
|
12.0%
|
6.25
|
RCII
|
Rental & Leasing Services
|
15.9%
|
3.39
|
The strong credit metrics and long-term histories of growing shareholder wealth are indicators of quality, and suggest that these firms are not value traps.
Conclusion
Each of these 16 stocks is attractively priced, has quality attributes, and was missed by the recent stock rally. Value investors ought to consider these stocks as buy candidates, and might consider adding multiple names from this list since they hail from a diverse array of industries. Value investors still have much work to do: this is no time to hibernate with the bears.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.
Courtesy Seeking Alpha